EUR/USD dropped despite the ECB’s decision to hike. Economists at UBS discuss the pair’s outlook.

The ECB hiked rates to a record high of 4% last week, its 10th consecutive increase. The decision was accompanied by an increase in the central bank’s inflation projections, which are now expected to average 5.6% this year and 3.2% in 2024-still well above the 2% target.

We remain most preferred on the Euro and least preferred on the US Dollar. The ECB’s move narrows the rate premium offered by the US, and we don’t expect rate cuts from the Eurozone’s central bank until at least June next year. An acceleration of quantitative tightening, with the ECB increasing the pace at which it shrinks its balance sheet, is also possible early next year.

We expect EUR/USD to rise to 1.12 by the end of the year.


Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Read More