Japan’s exports grew the most since 2010 in April, supported by a favourable comparison with the sharp plunge seen during the pandemic last year, while capital spending also rose, firming up expectations of a trade-led recovery.
Also supporting the outlook, Japanese manufacturers’ confidence hit a more than two-year high in May on the back of solid overseas demand, a Reuters survey showed on Thursday. read more
Improving exports were bolstered by the comparison with a year ago when a slump in global trade due to global coronavirus lockdowns dealt a heavy blow to the world’s third-largest economy.
Global demand for cars and electronics have picked up since last year, driven by a recovery in the U.S. and Chinese economies — Japan’s key markets — although global chip shortages put a drag on overseas shipments in recent months.
Data out on Thursday showed exports rose 38.0% in April from a year earlier, compared with a 30.9% increase expected by economists and following a 16.1% rise in March, the fastest gain since April 2010.
“The trade data confirmed that exports were recovering steadily. Particularly car exports, which fell a lot last year, are picking up,” said Yuichi Kodama, chief economist at Meiji Yasuda Research Institute.
“In Japan, capital spending tends to move in sync with external demand, so an export recovery is encouraging for machinery orders and capital expenditure.”
By destination, exports to China, Japan’s largest trading partner, rose 33.9% year-on-year in April, led by shipments of chip-making equipment, hybrid cars and scrap copper.
U.S.-bound exports grew 45.1% in the year to April on the back of demand for automobiles, car parts and ship engines.
Separate data from the Cabinet Office showed Japan’s core machinery orders, a highly volatile data series regarded as an indicator of capital spending in the coming six to nine months, rose 3.7% in March from the previous month.
The rise in core orders, which exclude those of ships and electric utilities, compared with a 6.4% increase seen in a Reuters poll of economists, the data showed.
The Cabinet Office maintained its assessment on machinery orders, saying that a pick-up is stalling.
Japan’s economy fell back into decline in the first quarter and economists have sharply revised down estimates for growth this quarter as emergency curbs hobble consumer spending. read more
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