SAP’s Stock Has Limited Upside Potential?

SAP (NYSE: SAP), a developer of enterprise software to manage business operations and customer relations, saw its stock rise by 2.8% to $142 in the last twenty-one trading days, in comparison Trefis’ SAP Valuation is $151. Meanwhile, the broader S&P500 rose by 2.4% over the last twenty-one trading days. Now, is SAP stock poised to grow? We believe that there is a 62% chance of a rise in SAP stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days) based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years. See our analysis on SAP’s Stock Chances Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: SAP 1%, vs. S&P500 1.7%; Underperformed market

(40% event probability)

• SAP’s stock rose 1% over a five day trading period ending 7/2/2021, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which rose 1.7%
• A change of 1% or more over five trading days has a 40% event probability, which has occurred 999 times out of 2518 in the last ten years

Ten Days: SAP 1.1%, vs. S&P500 4.5%; Underperformed market

(45% event probability)

• SAP’s stock rose 1.1% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 4.5%
• A change of 1.1% or more over ten trading days has a 45% event probability, which has occurred 1130 times out of 2518 in the last ten years

Twenty-One Days: SAP 2.8%, vs. S&P500 3.6%; Underperformed market

(37% event probability)

• SAP’s stock rose 2.8% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 3.6%
• A change of 2.8% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 37% event probability, which has occurred 923 times out of 2517 in the last ten years

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