The market is likely to retrace some losses this week. The selling is expected to resume in September. On the 28th, the 1.88-year cycle tops, adding to the usual September weakness. The selling is likely to be concentrated in the big tech leaders. Here are a pair of recommendations.
The Honeywell weekly cycle below has been accurate in eight of the last ten signals. It appears that the shares will fall into the end of August. Relative strength has hit its lowest level since 2013. September has been the weakest month to hold the stock, up 37% of the time for a loss of about 3%. Honeywell is likely to fall closer to $175.
Honeywell-Weekly Cycle
Honeywell-Monthly Histogram
PayPal is one of the weaker stocks in the NASDAQNDAQ
100 as September approaches. We see the monthly cycle below. All six sell cycles have been profitable in the last year. In the last eight years, the stock has fallen in six. This is not a big sample, but it does fit the tendency for technology weakness in that month. Relative strength peaked in early 2021. The shares will likely be priced in the $50-$55 range later in September.
PayPal Monthly Cycle
PayPal Daily Graph
