US 10-Year Notes Bottom Now

Bloomberg Finance LP/Nina Westervelt (C) 2021 Bloomberg Finance LP
The 10-year notes are expected to bottom soon and climb through July’s second half. This appears to be a bear market rally. According to the June Cycles Research study, “Notes are expected to rise into the 11th and then plummet into the 25th.” “Since 1982, only 19% of notes have climbed between June 16 and June 25. On the 11th, there is a strong PTP, and this will most likely be the top. The next PTP is on the 25th, and it will most likely be the lowest.”
Notes peaked on November 11th and have since bottomed on November 25th. The method used to accomplish this is likely to pique the interest of readers. All of the forecasting techniques were in sync:
The monthly cycle was getting shorter.
In June, the seasonal cycle anticipated a poor phase.
The daily and weekly cycles were both decreasing.
The cycle forecasts were validated by the PTPs.

Several factors are currently pointing to price increases. The first consideration is the pricing level. The most recent drop retraced 38.2 percent (131.6) of the rise from 2018 to 2020. The downside objective, which was met in April, was 131.6. The decrease was temporarily halted as a result of this. This remains true. It’s worth noting how that level is still controlling the downward trend.
Following that, we can see that seasonality is improving and that the weekly cycle is nearing its bottom. July (up 57%) and August (up 63%) are the busiest months of the year.
US 10-Year Notes Monthly Expected Return

The price of a dollar bill in the United States is at a seasonal low.
MORE FROM Cycles Research Investments LLC
This cycle is at its lowest point. Over the last year, the purchase signals have been 67 percent correct.
Cycle of Weekly Notes

This cycle has reached its nadir.
Cycles Research Investments LLC is a company that specializes in research and development./nRead More