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According to KeyBanc analyst Tyler Parker, people are spending around 7% less on Zynga in the second quarter than they did in the first.

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Zynga

After a KeyBanc analyst warned investors that the mobile videogame company’s second-quarter earnings will not feature the customary upside investors have come to expect, the stock dropped on Friday. During regular trading on Friday, Zynga shares dipped 1.4 percent to $10.53, despite a broad stock market surge.

KeyBanc analyst Tyler Parker stated in a note late Thursday that users are spending around 7% less on Zynga in the second quarter than in the first, based on proprietary Key First Look Data. Spending is still growing 21% year over year. According to Parker, the slowing expenditure could damage Zynga’s live services, which are games that the business updates on a regular basis to keep users engaged. Despite the worries, Parker maintained his Overweight rating and $13.50 target price for the stock. Due to the company’s quiet period ahead of earnings, Zynga stated it couldn’t comment.

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Videogame firms have benefited from individuals trapped inside with nothing in the way of amusement during the Covid-19 pandemic. Despite the fact that millions of new players have rushed to games, KeyBanc’s data suggests that when pandemic limitations are lifted, videogame businesses’ growth may decelerate. Parker kept his target price and recommendation on Zynga’s stock because he believes the company’s advertising revenue will be enough to compensate for lost videogame bookings. Zynga has a solid calendar of game launches beyond the second quarter. Zynga CEO Frank Gibeau stated the company’s engagement and monetization rates remained high when it released its first-quarter earnings at a J.P. Morgan Securities conference in May. People can still play brief bouts of mobile games wherever they go, even when the epidemic limitations are lifted, according to Gibeau. “It may not be at the same rate as during the pandemic, but remember that the mobile gaming market was expanding at a reasonably robust clip prior to the epidemic,” Gibeau remarked at the time. When the business reports on August 5, Wall Street expects adjusted earnings of 9 cents per share on $712.4 million in bookings. Bookings are a typical metric used by videogame publishers to account for the effects of deferred income. Since the company posted earnings in early May, bookings projections have stayed rather stable. The stock of Zynga is rated a Buy by 17 experts, a Hold by one, and a Sell by the other. The average target price is $13.25, implying a 26 percent increase. Last year, Barron’s praised Zynga, claiming that the business was well positioned to capitalize on the projected two billion individuals who play mobile video games. Since Barron’s published the piece in the Nov. 2 issue, shares have risen 13%.

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The index increased by 32%. Max A. Cherney can be reached at max.cherney@barrons.com./nRead More